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Flight Rising Discussion

Discuss everything and anything Flight Rising.
TOPIC | Help me do a statistical analysis of H/L
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so I am a nerd taking AP Statistics and we are currently in our Experimental Design unit
and I keep playing Higher or Lower and thinking, I could totally design an experiment of this. What's the best method for playing to maximize profit? What would a statistical breakdown of data from, say, always choosing higher vs. always choosing lower vs. strategically choosing based on value look like?

So hello. FR users, I turn to you and ask for volunteers to help me collect data.
The Plan: I will randomly assign volunteers to one of three groups. Each group will play with a different strategy.
Before you play, you'll put all of your treasure into the Vault. You'll play the game using the strategy you were randomly assigned to, and when you're out of guesses you'll record how much treasure you got.
Each group will repeat this several times, depending on how many volunteers I get.
At the end you'll send all the data to me, I'll do some nerdy analysis, and then I'll show you graphs and stuff.
Or maybe I'll make a Google Sheets for you to input your data as you go? I don't know.

The Groups:
Group 1 - Always guess higher.
Group 2 - Always guess lower.
Group 3 - Guess strategically. If the face-up card is 2-6, guess higher. If the face-up card is 7-12, guess lower.

so, reply to this thread if you're interested, I guess? I'll subscribe, so no need to ping me.

Edit: Google Sheets is here! Feel free to add your username as a volunteer if you're interested.
so I am a nerd taking AP Statistics and we are currently in our Experimental Design unit
and I keep playing Higher or Lower and thinking, I could totally design an experiment of this. What's the best method for playing to maximize profit? What would a statistical breakdown of data from, say, always choosing higher vs. always choosing lower vs. strategically choosing based on value look like?

So hello. FR users, I turn to you and ask for volunteers to help me collect data.
The Plan: I will randomly assign volunteers to one of three groups. Each group will play with a different strategy.
Before you play, you'll put all of your treasure into the Vault. You'll play the game using the strategy you were randomly assigned to, and when you're out of guesses you'll record how much treasure you got.
Each group will repeat this several times, depending on how many volunteers I get.
At the end you'll send all the data to me, I'll do some nerdy analysis, and then I'll show you graphs and stuff.
Or maybe I'll make a Google Sheets for you to input your data as you go? I don't know.

The Groups:
Group 1 - Always guess higher.
Group 2 - Always guess lower.
Group 3 - Guess strategically. If the face-up card is 2-6, guess higher. If the face-up card is 7-12, guess lower.

so, reply to this thread if you're interested, I guess? I'll subscribe, so no need to ping me.

Edit: Google Sheets is here! Feel free to add your username as a volunteer if you're interested.
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@kallimabutterfly
I'd be up for this! I like the idea of analyzing the heck out of games.
@kallimabutterfly
I'd be up for this! I like the idea of analyzing the heck out of games.
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Ohhh, I'm up for this!
Ohhh, I'm up for this!
Count me in as interested!
Count me in as interested!
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this looks pretty cool, I'd be willing to help if I may!
this looks pretty cool, I'd be willing to help if I may!
ePOliyb.pnglAvpyOQ.pngJ7D1quC.png
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@StormDragon21
@EeveeDream
@starblaziing
@mauvehouseplant

Awesome!

I'm setting up a Google Sheets for collecting data; right now everything is protected except for the volunteer list. I'm going to wait until we get a few more volunteers before assigning groups.
@StormDragon21
@EeveeDream
@starblaziing
@mauvehouseplant

Awesome!

I'm setting up a Google Sheets for collecting data; right now everything is protected except for the volunteer list. I'm going to wait until we get a few more volunteers before assigning groups.
MuAIaYM.pngfMJGS3M.png
@kallimabutterfly
I'd like to sign up too!
@kallimabutterfly
I'd like to sign up too!
- order
So, including myself, we now have nine participants, so three participants per group! These are the assignments:

Always Guess Higher - @starblaziing , @Offling and myself

Always Guess Lower - @mauvehouseplant , @StormDragon21 , @MrFrenchFrybrows

Guess Strategically - @EeveeDream , @Aishea , @KesSurana

We'll be doing 6 repetitions, to give us a total of 54 data points.

It doesn't matter when you play, just as long as you remember to put all your treasure in the vault beforehand, and record your payout when you're out of guesses. When everyone's got their data filled out in the Sheets, I'll do the analysis!
So, including myself, we now have nine participants, so three participants per group! These are the assignments:

Always Guess Higher - @starblaziing , @Offling and myself

Always Guess Lower - @mauvehouseplant , @StormDragon21 , @MrFrenchFrybrows

Guess Strategically - @EeveeDream , @Aishea , @KesSurana

We'll be doing 6 repetitions, to give us a total of 54 data points.

It doesn't matter when you play, just as long as you remember to put all your treasure in the vault beforehand, and record your payout when you're out of guesses. When everyone's got their data filled out in the Sheets, I'll do the analysis!
MuAIaYM.pngfMJGS3M.png
@kallimabutterfly is it too late to sign up? i'd love to do this
@kallimabutterfly is it too late to sign up? i'd love to do this
@kallimabutterfly
6 repetitions as in 6 turns, or 6 times we spend all 25 turns?
@kallimabutterfly
6 repetitions as in 6 turns, or 6 times we spend all 25 turns?
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